The Calm Before the Storm

Why Volatility Signals Stability, and 
Vice Versa By Nassim Nicholas Taleb and Gregory F. Treverton
 From our January/February 2015 Issue   The aftermath of an airstrike in Aleppo, November 2014. (Rami Zayat / Courtesy Reuters) Even as protests spread across the Middle East in early 2011, the regime of Bashar al-Assad in Syria appeared immune…

Fragile States Index

Iran is up, America is down. North Korea isn’t as bad as you think. But what do numbers rating the stability of a country really mean? Index by the Fund for Peace — Illustrations by Luke Shuman » Part 1: Rankings and Map » Part 2: Notable Changes and Scores » Part 3: Postcards from…

A New Wave of Military Restructuring Decrees in Yemen

By Sasha Gordon  April 11,2013       The United States relies on a partnership with the Yemeni government in conjunction with direct-action operations to combat the Yemen-based al Qaeda affiliate, al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP). What is worrying about this partnership is that the Yemeni Armed Forces are hampered by corruption, disunity,…