The Calm Before the Storm

Why Volatility Signals Stability, and 
Vice Versa By Nassim Nicholas Taleb and Gregory F. Treverton
 From our January/February 2015 Issue   The aftermath of an airstrike in Aleppo, November 2014. (Rami Zayat / Courtesy Reuters) Even as protests spread across the Middle East in early 2011, the regime of Bashar al-Assad in Syria appeared immune…