The Calm Before the Storm

Why Volatility Signals Stability, and 
Vice Versa By Nassim Nicholas Taleb and Gregory F. Treverton
 From our January/February 2015 Issue   The aftermath of an airstrike in Aleppo, November 2014. (Rami Zayat / Courtesy Reuters) Even as protests spread across the Middle East in early 2011, the regime of Bashar al-Assad in Syria appeared immune…

Russia and the SCO Military Exercises

Russia may be putting aside its reluctance to accept the Shanghai Cooperation Organization’s growing clout in Central Asia. By Joshua Kucera August 28, 2014 The Shanghai Cooperation Organization is holding its biggest joint military exercises ever, as Russia seeks to strengthen ties with China in the wake of its collapsing relations with Europe and the…

Black Cats in a Dark Room: Moscow’s Denials of Military Involvement in Eastern Ukraine

Publication: Eurasia Daily Monitor Volume: 11 Issue: 75 April 23, 2014 07:07 PM Age: 13 days By: Roger McDermott   Pro-Russian masked gunmen in Donentsk, April 22 (Source: AFP) Denials by Russia’s political-military leadership concerning alleged military involvement in eastern Ukraine are unsurprising and bear a resemblance to the official line on Crimea, until President…