Pulling out of Syria: A primer

By GREGORY HELLMAN and CONNOR O’BRIEN 12/20/2018 05:02 PM EST Vehicles of the US-led coalition battling the Islamic State group patrol the town of Rmelane in Syria’s Hasakeh province on June 5. | Delil Souleiman/AFP/Getty Images President Donald Trump’s abrupt announcement that “we have defeated ISIS” in Syria and U.S troops are “all coming back…

The Calm Before the Storm

Why Volatility Signals Stability, and 
Vice Versa By Nassim Nicholas Taleb and Gregory F. Treverton
 From our January/February 2015 Issue   The aftermath of an airstrike in Aleppo, November 2014. (Rami Zayat / Courtesy Reuters) Even as protests spread across the Middle East in early 2011, the regime of Bashar al-Assad in Syria appeared immune…

OSINT Summary: Australian police foil planned terrorist attack in New South Wales

Terrorism & Insurgency Christopher Hawkins – IHS Jane’s Terrorism & Insurgency Monitor 19 September 2014 The Australian police have reportedly foiled a plot by the Islamic State to commit a terrorist act. Credit: PA Photos Fifteen men were arrested by Australian police during several counter-terrorism raids across the city of Sydney in New South Wales…

An Analysis of ISIS Quarterly Reports: Kill and Conquer

James Foley‘s beheading illustrates ISIS’ ruthlessness; the growing organization’s reports reveal its calculating nature Authors: Adi Kochavi and Matan Gilat Posted: 08/20/14 08:28 EDT Deep Web Reporting By: Amit Weiss and Gilad Shiloach Any doubts about how ruthless and single-minded the Islamic State (commonly referred to as ISIS) had become were dispelled on Tuesday. A…

Foley’s Executioner Likely British National

BY David Francis  AUGUST 20, 2014 – 07:18 PM Evidence is mounting that the man who executed American journalist James Foley is a British national fighting under the banner of the Islamic State. According to BBC Radio, British Foreign Secretary Philip Hammond said that the masked man in the video was likely a British citizen.…

Dabiq: What Islamic State’s New Magazine Tells Us about Their Strategic Direction, Recruitment Patterns and Guerrilla Doctrine

Publication: Volume: 0 Issue: 0 August 1, 2014 03:38 PM Age: 17 days By: Michael W. S. Ryan Dabiq Magazine (Source: Twitter user @umOmar246) Executive Summary On the first day of Ramadan (June 28), the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS) declared itself the new Islamic State and the new Caliphate (Khilafah). For the…

ISIS Governance in Syria

  Download the PDF   By Charles C. Caris & Samuel Reynolds The Islamic State’s June 2014 announcement of a “caliphate” is not empty rhetoric. In fact, the idea of the caliphate that rests within a controlled territory is a core part of ISIS’s political vision. The ISIS grand strategy to realize this vision involves…